KAUST researchers studied the meteorological origins of sea-level extremes in the Red Sea using computer simulations and the ADCIRC storm surge model. They validated their datasets with hourly sea-level observations from six tidal gauges along the Saudi coast. The study found that wind variations over the southern part of the sea are the main drivers of basin-wide sea-level extremes. Why it matters: This research provides critical insights for managing and developing the Red Sea coastline, including megacity projects and tourism, while mitigating their impact on the marine environment.
Researchers have developed a CNN-based deep learning model for predicting coastal flooding in cities under various sea-level rise scenarios. The model utilizes a vision-based, low-resource DL framework and is trained on datasets from Abu Dhabi and San Francisco. Results show a 20% reduction in mean absolute error compared to existing methods, demonstrating potential for scalable coastal flood management.
This paper introduces a deep vision-based framework for predicting coastal floods under climate change, addressing the challenges of limited training data and high-dimensional output. The framework employs and compares various deep learning models, including a custom compact CNN architecture, against geostatistical and traditional machine learning methods. A new synthetic dataset of flood inundation maps for Abu Dhabi's coast is also provided to benchmark future models.
A KAUST report, in collaboration with AEON Collective and KAPSARC, warned of increasing flash floods in the Arabian Peninsula due to climate change. The report predicts a 33% increase in annual maximum rainfall by the end of the century under a high emissions scenario. KAUST is supporting MEWA to improve dam management and flash flood warning systems, leveraging its data and supercomputing capabilities. Why it matters: The study highlights the urgent need for infrastructure adaptation and improved warning systems in the region to mitigate the increasing risk of climate-related disasters.
KAUST scientists are developing models to predict extreme weather events like the 2009 Jeddah flood, which caused significant damage. Prof. Ibrahim Hoteit's team is using data from satellites, international sources, and local entities like PME and the Jeddah Municipality to build high-resolution models. The aim is to improve predictions of extreme rain events by one or two days and issue timely warnings. Why it matters: Improving extreme weather prediction is crucial for mitigating the impact of climate change in vulnerable regions like the GCC.