KAUST scientists are developing models to predict extreme weather events like the 2009 Jeddah flood, which caused significant damage. Prof. Ibrahim Hoteit's team is using data from satellites, international sources, and local entities like PME and the Jeddah Municipality to build high-resolution models. The aim is to improve predictions of extreme rain events by one or two days and issue timely warnings. Why it matters: Improving extreme weather prediction is crucial for mitigating the impact of climate change in vulnerable regions like the GCC.
KAUST's HALO group launched a CubeSat in 2023 for high-precision Earth observation in the Gulf region, combining GNSS Reflectometry and hyperspectral sensing. The satellite monitors vegetation, soil, agriculture, and ecosystem health, providing detailed estimates of irrigation water use and vegetation health. The Extreme Statistics (XSTAT) research group at KAUST focuses on the mathematical modeling and prediction of extreme weather and climate events. Why it matters: These KAUST initiatives enhance climate resilience in the region through advanced monitoring, statistical modeling, and predictive capabilities.
KAUST's Atmospheric and Climate Modeling group, led by Georgiy Stenchikov, is using high-resolution global and regional climate models to predict climate change in the Middle East, focusing on local atmospheric and oceanic processes. The group developed coupled regional atmospheric and oceanic models for the Red Sea, accounting for the climate effect of aerosols, especially dust, which is significant in the region. They found that dust strongly affects the Red Sea, causing high optical depth and solar cooling effect, particularly in the southern part, impacting energy balance and circulation. Why it matters: Improving regional climate models with specific attention to dust and aerosols is crucial for predicting and mitigating the environmental impacts of climate change in arid regions like the Middle East.
KAUST and K.A.CARE have partnered to study solar irradiation and atmospheric weather conditions in Saudi Arabia, leveraging K.A.CARE's Renewable Resources Atlas Project. The collaboration uses KAUST's Shaheen II supercomputer to simulate weather and atmospheric conditions from 2005-2018. The long-term goal is daily forecasting of weather and air quality across the Arabian Peninsula. Why it matters: This initiative will provide crucial data for renewable energy development and environmental monitoring in the region, supporting Saudi Arabia's sustainability goals.
KAUST researchers have developed a detailed 3D dynamic model using data from the February 2023 Turkiye earthquake to improve earthquake simulations. The model incorporates 3D fault geometry and Earth structure for realistic simulations of ground shaking. It explains complex ground shaking patterns and the impact of supershear ruptures, which can amplify damage far from the epicenter. Why it matters: This research provides a more accurate understanding of earthquake rupture processes, crucial for seismic hazard assessment and infrastructure planning in seismically active regions like the Middle East.