MBZUAI Professor Agathe Guilloux developed the SigLasso model to forecast hospitalizations using real-time data from Google and Météo France during the COVID-19 pandemic. The model integrates mobility data and weather patterns to predict hospitalization rates 10-14 days in advance. SigLasso outperformed industry standards like GRU and Neural CDE in reducing reconstruction error. Why it matters: This research demonstrates the potential of AI to improve healthcare resource allocation and crisis management by accurately predicting patient flow using readily available data.
KAUST scientists are developing models to predict extreme weather events like the 2009 Jeddah flood, which caused significant damage. Prof. Ibrahim Hoteit's team is using data from satellites, international sources, and local entities like PME and the Jeddah Municipality to build high-resolution models. The aim is to improve predictions of extreme rain events by one or two days and issue timely warnings. Why it matters: Improving extreme weather prediction is crucial for mitigating the impact of climate change in vulnerable regions like the GCC.
MBZUAI researchers developed AirCast, a novel AI model for improved air pollution forecasting, which won the best paper award at the TerraBytes workshop during ICML. AirCast fuses weather and chemistry data using a Vision Transformer and frequency-weighted MAE to better predict extreme events like Saharan dust storms. In tests across the Middle East and North Africa, AirCast reduced PM2.5 error by 33% compared to a persistence baseline and outperformed the CAMS physics model. Why it matters: Accurate air pollution forecasting is critical for public health in the GCC region, and this research demonstrates a significant advancement using AI to address this challenge.
The paper introduces a novel method for short-term, high-resolution traffic prediction, modeling it as a matrix completion problem solved via block-coordinate descent. An ensemble learning approach is used to capture periodic patterns and reduce training error. The method is validated using both simulated and real-world traffic data from Abu Dhabi, demonstrating superior performance compared to other algorithms.
MBZUAI's Provost, Tim Baldwin, provides six predictions for AI in 2025, highlighting the rise of agentic AI systems capable of performing actions on behalf of users. He notes the recent release of open-weight reasoning models like DeepSeek's R1 and OpenAI's o3-mini, emphasizing the dynamic nature of the field. Baldwin stresses the potential benefits of agentic AI, such as automating complex tasks like travel planning, while also cautioning about the need for careful deployment due to unforeseen outcomes. Why it matters: The predictions provide insight into the near-term trajectory of AI development and deployment, particularly regarding AI agents, and highlights the role of a UAE university in shaping the discussion around AI innovation.
A novel wind speed forecasting (WSF) framework is proposed combining Wavelet Packet Decomposition (WPD), Seasonal Adjustment Method (SAM), and Bidirectional Long Short-term Memory (BiLSTM). The SAM method eliminates the seasonal component of the decomposed subseries generated by WPD to reduce forecasting complexity. The model was tested on five years of hourly wind speed observations acquired from the Dumat Al-Jandal wind farm in Al-Jouf, Saudi Arabia, achieving high forecasting accuracy.
Patrick van der Smagt, Director of AI Research at Volkswagen Group, discussed the use of generative machine learning models for predicting and controlling complex stochastic systems in robotics. The talk highlighted examples in robotics and beyond and addressed the challenges of achieving quality and trust in AI systems. He also mentioned his involvement in a European industry initiative on trust in AI and his membership in the AI Council of the State of Bavaria. Why it matters: Understanding control in robotics, along with trust in AI, are key issues for further development of autonomous systems, especially in industrial applications within the GCC region.
This paper proposes a smart dome system for mosques that uses machine learning to automatically control dome ventilation based on weather conditions and outside temperatures. The system was tested on the Prophet Mosque in Saudi Arabia using K-Nearest Neighbors and Decision Tree algorithms. The Decision Tree algorithm achieved a higher accuracy of 98% compared to 95% for the k-NN algorithm.