A novel wind speed forecasting (WSF) framework is proposed combining Wavelet Packet Decomposition (WPD), Seasonal Adjustment Method (SAM), and Bidirectional Long Short-term Memory (BiLSTM). The SAM method eliminates the seasonal component of the decomposed subseries generated by WPD to reduce forecasting complexity. The model was tested on five years of hourly wind speed observations acquired from the Dumat Al-Jandal wind farm in Al-Jouf, Saudi Arabia, achieving high forecasting accuracy.
The paper introduces a novel method for short-term, high-resolution traffic prediction, modeling it as a matrix completion problem solved via block-coordinate descent. An ensemble learning approach is used to capture periodic patterns and reduce training error. The method is validated using both simulated and real-world traffic data from Abu Dhabi, demonstrating superior performance compared to other algorithms.
MBZUAI Professor Agathe Guilloux developed the SigLasso model to forecast hospitalizations using real-time data from Google and Météo France during the COVID-19 pandemic. The model integrates mobility data and weather patterns to predict hospitalization rates 10-14 days in advance. SigLasso outperformed industry standards like GRU and Neural CDE in reducing reconstruction error. Why it matters: This research demonstrates the potential of AI to improve healthcare resource allocation and crisis management by accurately predicting patient flow using readily available data.
Researchers introduce CESAR, a convolutional echo state autoencoder for high-resolution wind forecasting. The model extracts spatial features using a deep convolutional autoencoder and models their dynamics with an echo state network. Tested on high-resolution simulations in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, CESAR improved wind speed and power forecasting by up to 17% compared to other methods. Why it matters: Accurate wind forecasting is critical for efficient wind farm planning and management in Saudi Arabia and the broader region.
Researchers developed a data-driven toolkit for short-term traffic forecasting using high-resolution traffic data from urban road sensors. The method models forecasting as a matrix completion problem, mapping inputs to a higher-dimensional space using kernels and adaptive boosting. Validated using real-world data from Abu Dhabi, UAE, the method outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms.
MBZUAI Professor Fakhri Karray and colleagues from the University of Waterloo are using AI to forecast crop yields, focusing on the impact of extreme temperatures on California strawberry yields. The research uses historical climate and agricultural data to predict yields, addressing issues from 2023 when unusual weather caused a $100 million loss to the strawberry industry. Better predictions could benefit consumers, farmers, and the agricultural industry by improving pricing and supply chain management. Why it matters: This research can improve understanding of agricultural system vulnerabilities amid climate change and extreme weather.
Researchers propose a spatio-temporal model for high-resolution wind forecasting in Saudi Arabia using Echo State Networks and stochastic partial differential equations. The model reduces spatial information via energy distance, captures dynamics with a sparse recurrent neural network, and reconstructs data using a non-stationary stochastic partial differential equation approach. The model achieves more accurate forecasts of wind speed and energy, potentially saving up to one million dollars annually compared to existing models.
MBZUAI and the University of Chicago are collaborating on a program to train governments in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) to use AI weather forecasting models. Funded by a grant from the UAE Presidential Court, the program's first cohort includes staff from Bangladesh, Chile, Ethiopia, Kenya, and Nigeria, receiving training in the UAE at MBZUAI and NCM. The program aims to expand to 30 countries, potentially benefiting millions of farmers by improving yields and livelihoods. Why it matters: This initiative democratizes access to advanced weather forecasting, enabling LMICs to leverage AI for climate resilience and agricultural productivity.