arXiv ·
This paper introduces a novel fuzzy clustering method for circular time series based on a new dependence measure that considers circular arcs. The algorithm groups series generated from similar stochastic processes and demonstrates computational efficiency. The method is applied to time series of wind direction in Saudi Arabia, showcasing its practical potential.
arXiv ·
A novel wind speed forecasting (WSF) framework is proposed combining Wavelet Packet Decomposition (WPD), Seasonal Adjustment Method (SAM), and Bidirectional Long Short-term Memory (BiLSTM). The SAM method eliminates the seasonal component of the decomposed subseries generated by WPD to reduce forecasting complexity. The model was tested on five years of hourly wind speed observations acquired from the Dumat Al-Jandal wind farm in Al-Jouf, Saudi Arabia, achieving high forecasting accuracy.
KAUST ·
KAUST researchers found a 25-30% increase in winter rainfall in the eastern Arabian Peninsula since 1981, with a 10-20% decrease in the south and northeast. This change correlates with a shifting El Niño pattern in the tropical Pacific Ocean, affecting sea surface temperatures and westerly winds. The study used rainfall data from the University of East Anglia and 39 stations across the peninsula from 1951-2010. Why it matters: Improved understanding of these climate drivers could enhance long-term rainfall predictions, benefiting agriculture and water resource management in this arid region.
KAUST ·
KAUST researchers studied the meteorological origins of sea-level extremes in the Red Sea using computer simulations and the ADCIRC storm surge model. They validated their datasets with hourly sea-level observations from six tidal gauges along the Saudi coast. The study found that wind variations over the southern part of the sea are the main drivers of basin-wide sea-level extremes. Why it matters: This research provides critical insights for managing and developing the Red Sea coastline, including megacity projects and tourism, while mitigating their impact on the marine environment.
KAUST ·
The AQABA project, a collaboration involving KAUST and international institutions, studies air quality and climate change in the Arabian Basin using a marine research vessel. The vessel traveled from France through the Suez Canal, around the Arabian Peninsula, and stopped at KAUST. Researchers presented findings on atmospheric dust, air pollution, and aerosol measurements, highlighting the impact of dust on renewable energy and air pollution on health. Why it matters: The project provides crucial data for understanding and addressing climate challenges and air quality issues in the Middle East.