Researchers propose a spatio-temporal model for high-resolution wind forecasting in Saudi Arabia using Echo State Networks and stochastic partial differential equations. The model reduces spatial information via energy distance, captures dynamics with a sparse recurrent neural network, and reconstructs data using a non-stationary stochastic partial differential equation approach. The model achieves more accurate forecasts of wind speed and energy, potentially saving up to one million dollars annually compared to existing models.
KAUST Professor Raul Tempone, an expert in Uncertainty Quantification (UQ), has been appointed as an Alexander von Humboldt Professor at RWTH Aachen University in Germany. This professorship will enable him to further his research on mathematics for uncertainty quantification with new collaborators. Tempone believes the KAUST Strategic Initiative for Uncertainty Quantification (SRI-UQ) contributed to this award. Why it matters: This appointment enhances KAUST's visibility and facilitates cross-fertilization between European and KAUST research groups, benefiting both institutions and attracting talent.
KAUST hosted the Advances in Uncertainty Quantification Methods, Algorithms and Applications conference (UQAW2016) in January 2016. The event featured 75 presentations and 20 invited speakers from various countries. Professor Raul Tempone presented research on computational approaches to fouling accumulation and wear degradation using stochastic differential equations. Why it matters: This work provides a new computational approach based on stochastic differential equations to predict fouling patterns of heat exchangers which can optimize maintenance operations and reduce engine shut-down periods.
Mladen Kolar from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business discussed stochastic optimization with equality constraints at MBZUAI. He presented a stochastic algorithm based on sequential quadratic programming (SQP) using a differentiable exact augmented Lagrangian. The algorithm adapts random stepsizes using a stochastic line search procedure, establishing global "almost sure" convergence. Why it matters: The presentation highlights MBZUAI's role in hosting discussions on advanced optimization techniques, fostering research and knowledge exchange in the field of machine learning.
A Marie Curie Fellow from Inria and UIUC presented research on stochastic gradient descent (SGD) through the lens of Markov processes, exploring the relationships between heavy-tailed distributions, generalization error, and algorithmic stability. The research challenges existing theories about the monotonic relationship between heavy tails and generalization error. It introduces a unified approach for proving Wasserstein stability bounds in stochastic optimization, applicable to convex and non-convex losses. Why it matters: The work provides novel insights into the theoretical underpinnings of stochastic optimization, relevant to researchers at MBZUAI and other institutions in the region working on machine learning algorithms.
Emilio Porcu from Khalifa University presented on temporally evolving generalized networks, where graphs evolve over time with changing topologies. The presentation addressed challenges in building semi-metrics and isometric embeddings for these networks. The research uses kernel specification and network-based metrics and is illustrated using a traffic accident dataset. Why it matters: This work advances the application of kernel methods to dynamic graph structures, relevant for modeling evolving relationships in various domains.
This talk discusses the asymptotic study of large asymmetric spiked tensor models. It explores connections between these models and equivalent random matrices constructed through contractions of the original tensor. Mohamed El Amine Seddik, currently a senior researcher at TII in Abu Dhabi, presented the work. Why it matters: The research provides theoretical foundations relevant to machine learning algorithms that leverage low-rank tensor structures, potentially impacting AI research and applications in the region.
KAUST's Stochastic Numerics Research Group is developing methods for pricing European options. Their approach, detailed in an upcoming Journal of Computational Finance article, focuses on systematically tuning parameters to achieve accuracy while minimizing computational effort. The goal is to enable automated computation of fair prices for options contracts, similar to how insurance companies determine premiums. Why it matters: This research advances computational finance in the region, potentially improving risk management and investment strategies.