arXiv ·
This paper introduces a novel fuzzy clustering method for circular time series based on a new dependence measure that considers circular arcs. The algorithm groups series generated from similar stochastic processes and demonstrates computational efficiency. The method is applied to time series of wind direction in Saudi Arabia, showcasing its practical potential.
arXiv ·
The paper introduces TimeHUT, a new method for learning time-series representations using hierarchical uniformity-tolerance balancing of contrastive representations. TimeHUT employs a hierarchical setup to learn both instance-wise and temporal information, along with a temperature scheduler to balance uniformity and tolerance. The method was evaluated on UCR, UAE, Yahoo, and KPI datasets, demonstrating superior performance in classification tasks and competitive results in anomaly detection.
arXiv ·
This paper introduces a novel two-step method for predicting urban expansion using time-series satellite imagery. The approach combines semantic image segmentation with a CNN-LSTM model to learn temporal features. Experiments on satellite images from Riyadh, Jeddah, and Dammam in Saudi Arabia demonstrate improved performance compared to existing methods based on Mean Square Error, Root Mean Square Error, Peak Signal to Noise Ratio, Structural Similarity Index, and overall classification accuracy.
arXiv ·
The paper introduces a novel method for short-term, high-resolution traffic prediction, modeling it as a matrix completion problem solved via block-coordinate descent. An ensemble learning approach is used to capture periodic patterns and reduce training error. The method is validated using both simulated and real-world traffic data from Abu Dhabi, demonstrating superior performance compared to other algorithms.
MBZUAI ·
A presentation will demonstrate the construction of well-calibrated, distribution-free neural Temporal Point Process (TPP) models from multiple event sequences using conformal prediction. The method builds a distribution-free joint prediction region for event arrival time and type with a finite-sample coverage guarantee. The refined method is based on the highest density regions, derived from the joint predictive density of event arrival time and type to address the challenge of creating a joint prediction region for a bivariate response that includes both continuous and discrete data types. Why it matters: This research from a KAUST postdoc improves uncertainty quantification in neural TPPs, which are crucial for modeling continuous-time event sequences, with applications in various fields, by providing more reliable prediction regions.