arXiv ·
This paper introduces a novel fuzzy clustering method for circular time series based on a new dependence measure that considers circular arcs. The algorithm groups series generated from similar stochastic processes and demonstrates computational efficiency. The method is applied to time series of wind direction in Saudi Arabia, showcasing its practical potential.
arXiv ·
Researchers propose a spatio-temporal model for high-resolution wind forecasting in Saudi Arabia using Echo State Networks and stochastic partial differential equations. The model reduces spatial information via energy distance, captures dynamics with a sparse recurrent neural network, and reconstructs data using a non-stationary stochastic partial differential equation approach. The model achieves more accurate forecasts of wind speed and energy, potentially saving up to one million dollars annually compared to existing models.
arXiv ·
This paper introduces a unified deep autoregressive model (UAE) for cardinality estimation that learns joint data distributions from both data and query workloads. It uses differentiable progressive sampling with the Gumbel-Softmax trick to incorporate supervised query information into the deep autoregressive model. Experiments show UAE achieves better accuracy and efficiency compared to state-of-the-art methods.
arXiv ·
A novel wind speed forecasting (WSF) framework is proposed combining Wavelet Packet Decomposition (WPD), Seasonal Adjustment Method (SAM), and Bidirectional Long Short-term Memory (BiLSTM). The SAM method eliminates the seasonal component of the decomposed subseries generated by WPD to reduce forecasting complexity. The model was tested on five years of hourly wind speed observations acquired from the Dumat Al-Jandal wind farm in Al-Jouf, Saudi Arabia, achieving high forecasting accuracy.
arXiv ·
Researchers developed a data-driven toolkit for short-term traffic forecasting using high-resolution traffic data from urban road sensors. The method models forecasting as a matrix completion problem, mapping inputs to a higher-dimensional space using kernels and adaptive boosting. Validated using real-world data from Abu Dhabi, UAE, the method outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms.
arXiv ·
The paper introduces the Unscented Autoencoder (UAE), a novel deep generative model based on the Variational Autoencoder (VAE) framework. The UAE uses the Unscented Transform (UT) for a more informative posterior representation compared to the reparameterization trick in VAEs. It replaces Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence with the Wasserstein distribution metric and demonstrates competitive performance in Fréchet Inception Distance (FID) scores.
arXiv ·
The paper introduces a novel method for short-term, high-resolution traffic prediction, modeling it as a matrix completion problem solved via block-coordinate descent. An ensemble learning approach is used to capture periodic patterns and reduce training error. The method is validated using both simulated and real-world traffic data from Abu Dhabi, demonstrating superior performance compared to other algorithms.