Nate Hagens from the University of Minnesota spoke at KAUST's Winter Enrichment Program (WEP) 2018 about the intersection of energy, human behavior, and economics. Hagens argued that society functions as an energy-dissipating "superorganism," with human preferences correlated with increasing energy needs. He emphasized that energy, not money, is the real capital, but global society is running out of it. Why it matters: The talk highlights the importance of viewing society through an ecological lens, particularly in the context of the GCC region's reliance on energy resources.
This paper introduces DaringFed, a novel dynamic Bayesian persuasion pricing mechanism for online federated learning (OFL) that addresses the challenge of two-sided incomplete information (TII) regarding resources. It formulates the interaction between the server and clients as a dynamic signaling and pricing allocation problem within a Bayesian persuasion game, demonstrating the existence of a unique Bayesian persuasion Nash equilibrium. Evaluations on real and synthetic datasets demonstrate that DaringFed optimizes accuracy and convergence speed and improves the server's utility.
Cindy Lee Van Dover, a professor at Duke University, spoke at KAUST's Winter Enrichment Program in 2017 about the blue economy. The blue economy refers to the sustainable use of ocean resources for economic growth, improved livelihoods, and jobs while preserving the health of ocean ecosystems. Why it matters: This highlights KAUST's interest in marine science and sustainable development related to ocean resources.
KAUST hosted the KAUST Research Conference: Advances in Well Construction with Focus on Near-Wellbore Physics and Chemistry from November 7 to 9. The conference was co-chaired by Eric van Oort, a professor at UT Austin, and Tadeusz Patzek, director of the University’s Upstream Petroleum Engineering Research Center. Attendees included professors from the University of Queensland and UT Austin, and directors from GenesisRTS and Labyrinth Consulting Services, Inc. Why it matters: The conference facilitates international collaboration on advancements in petroleum engineering and well construction technologies, which are strategically important for Saudi Arabia.
This paper introduces rational counterfactuals, a method for identifying counterfactuals that maximize the attainment of a desired consequent. The approach aims to identify the antecedent that leads to a specific outcome for rational decision-making. The theory is applied to identify variable values that contribute to peace, such as Allies, Contingency, Distance, Major Power, Capability, Democracy, and Economic Interdependency. Why it matters: The research provides a framework for analyzing and promoting conditions conducive to peace using counterfactual reasoning.
Munther Dahleh from MIT gave a talk on information design under uncertainty, focusing on the challenges of creating an information marketplace. The talk addressed the externality faced by firms when information is allocated to competitors, and considered two models for this externality. The presentation included mechanisms for both models and highlighted the impact of competition on the revenue collected by the seller. Why it matters: The research advances understanding of information markets and mechanism design, relevant to the growing data economy in the GCC region.
Munther Dahleh, director at the MIT Institute for Data, Systems, and Society (IDSS), discussed his group's research on network systems at the KAUST 2018 Winter Enrichment Program. The research focuses on the fragility of large networked systems, like highway systems, in response to disruptions that may lead to catastrophic failures. Dahleh's team studies transportation networks, electrical grids, and financial markets to understand system interconnection in causing systemic risk. Why it matters: Understanding networked systems is crucial for building resilient infrastructure and mitigating risks in critical sectors across the GCC region.
Nobel laureate Michael Spence lectured at MBZUAI on AI's impact on global economies, focusing on productivity and growth. He highlighted information asymmetries around LLMs and the risk of AI-driven bias in job screening. Spence suggests finding signals that cannot be easily imitated and increase the cost of delivering misleading information. Why it matters: The lecture brings attention to AI's transformative potential and the challenges it poses for economic models and policy in the UAE and globally.