This paper introduces DaringFed, a novel dynamic Bayesian persuasion pricing mechanism for online federated learning (OFL) that addresses the challenge of two-sided incomplete information (TII) regarding resources. It formulates the interaction between the server and clients as a dynamic signaling and pricing allocation problem within a Bayesian persuasion game, demonstrating the existence of a unique Bayesian persuasion Nash equilibrium. Evaluations on real and synthetic datasets demonstrate that DaringFed optimizes accuracy and convergence speed and improves the server's utility.
The paper proposes a method for causal inference using satellite image time series to determine the impact of interventions on climate change, focusing on quantifying deforestation due to human causes. The method uses computer vision and deep learning to detect forest tree coverage levels over time and Bayesian structural causal models to estimate counterfactuals. The framework is applied to analyze deforestation levels before and after the hyperinflation event in Brazil in the Amazon rainforest region.
A research paper by Dr. Reda Alami of the AI and Digital Science Research Center (AIDRC) at TII has been accepted for publication at the 14th Asian Conference on Machine Learning (ACML 2022). The paper addresses sequential decision-making under uncertainty in non-stationary environments, proposing a Bayesian Change-Point Detection with Thompson Sampling (Bayesian-CPD-TS) algorithm. The algorithm combines decision-making under uncertainty and sequential detection of abrupt changes. Why it matters: This recognition highlights the growing AI research capabilities within the UAE and its contribution to the global machine learning community.
This paper introduces a Bayesian optimization method for estimating tire parameters and their uncertainty, addressing a gap in existing literature. The methodology uses Stochastic Variational Inference to estimate parameters and uncertainties, and it is validated against a Nelder-Mead algorithm. The approach is applied to real-world data from the Abu Dhabi Autonomous Racing League, revealing uncertainties in identifying curvature and shape parameters due to insufficient excitation. Why it matters: The research provides a practical tool for assessing tire model parameters in real-world conditions, with implications for autonomous racing and vehicle dynamics modeling in the GCC region.
KAUST faculty members Carlos Duarte, Matthew F. McCabe, Mark Tester, Mohamed-Slim Alouini, and Håvard Rue have been named to the 2023 Highly Cited Researchers list. Their research spans biological oceanography, remote sensing, plant science, wireless communications, and Bayesian statistics. Mark Tester has been cited over 40,000 times, while Mohamed-Slim Alouini focuses on developing aerial and space networks for remote areas. Why it matters: This recognition highlights KAUST's growing impact and contribution to global research in diverse fields, reinforcing its position as a leading research institution in the region.
KAUST researchers developed a statistical approach to improve the identification of cancer-related protein mutations by reducing false positives. The method uses Bayesian statistics to analyze protein domain data from tumor samples, accounting for potential errors due to limited data. The team tested their method on prostate cancer data, successfully identifying a known cancer-linked mutation in the DNA binding protein cd00083. Why it matters: This enhances the reliability of cancer research at the molecular level, potentially accelerating the discovery of new therapeutic targets.
KAUST Professor Håvard Rue was honored by the Royal Statistical Society (RSS) with the Guy Medal in Silver for his work on efficient computational techniques. The award recognizes Rue's contributions to the theory underpinning the INLA software, particularly through two influential papers on approximate Bayesian inference and Gaussian fields. Rue's research focuses on computational Bayesian statistics and Bayesian methodology, with the R-INLA project being a core part of his work. Why it matters: Recognition of KAUST faculty by international organizations highlights the institution's growing prominence in statistical research and computational modeling.
KAUST Ph.D. alumna Sabrina Vettori and Ph.D. student Yuxiao Li received a Distinguished Student Paper Award at the 2018 Eastern North American Region (ENAR) Spring Meeting of the International Biometric Society. Li's paper focused on efficient estimation for non-stationary spatial covariance functions, while Vettori's paper addressed Bayesian hierarchical modelling of air pollution extremes. Both students were recognized for their contributions to statistical environmental studies and air pollution modeling. Why it matters: This award highlights KAUST's commitment to fostering high-quality research and recognizes the achievements of its students in addressing critical environmental challenges.