KAUST researchers collaborated on a study in Iceland that found a correlation between changes in groundwater composition and earthquakes greater than magnitude 5. The study, published in Nature Geoscience, observed variations in dissolved element concentrations and stable isotopes prior to seismic events in 2012 and 2013. Earthquake prediction remains a challenge with differing views among scientists about its feasibility. Why it matters: Understanding earthquake precursors could lead to improved risk mitigation strategies for urban infrastructure in seismically active regions across the Middle East.
KAUST researchers from statistics and earth science collaborated to improve earthquake source modeling. They developed a statistical ranking tool to classify 2D fields, applicable to geoscience models like temperature or precipitation. The tool helps compare different 2D fields describing the earthquake source process and quantify inter-event variability. Why it matters: This cross-disciplinary approach enhances the reliability of earthquake rupture models, contributing to better hazard assessment and risk management in seismically active regions.
Geophysicists at KAUST are investigating the "doublet" earthquake phenomenon in Turkey, where two strong earthquakes of magnitude 7.8 and 7.7 occurred within nine hours of each other on separate faults. Researchers from the Crustal Deformation and InSAR Group and the Computational Earthquake Seismology research group are using satellite and seismic data to examine the earthquake rupture process. The National Center for Earthquake and Volcano monitoring (NCEV) of the Saudi Geological Survey contributes seismic recordings to the KAUST teams. Why it matters: Understanding such earthquake doublets is crucial for improving seismic hazard assessment and risk mitigation in the region and globally.
KAUST researchers have developed an AI system for the Saudi Geological Survey (SGS) to improve the scientific understanding of seismic activity in Saudi Arabia. The AI system helps the SGS analyze swarm earthquakes, which are common in volcanic regions and difficult to decipher using conventional methods. The system allows for a more reliable survey of seismic regions, better infrastructure planning, and improved building codes. Why it matters: The AI system enhances Saudi Arabia's ability to monitor and respond to seismic events, contributing to public safety and infrastructure resilience.
KAUST researchers have developed a detailed 3D dynamic model using data from the February 2023 Turkiye earthquake to improve earthquake simulations. The model incorporates 3D fault geometry and Earth structure for realistic simulations of ground shaking. It explains complex ground shaking patterns and the impact of supershear ruptures, which can amplify damage far from the epicenter. Why it matters: This research provides a more accurate understanding of earthquake rupture processes, crucial for seismic hazard assessment and infrastructure planning in seismically active regions like the Middle East.